County health officials reported nine people with new positive test results for COVID-19 on Saturday, bringing the total number of positive and presumed cases to 116 — a 170% increase since July 1.

Of the 116 cases, 111 are confirmed positive and five are presumed to be positive because they were exposed to someone who has the virus and are showing symptoms.

There are currently 40 people in isolation in the county, nearly double the 22 that were reported to be in isolation last Saturday.

One COVID-19-related death has been reported in the county, a number that remained unchanged Saturday.

County health officials on Saturday again pointed out that the new positive cases are directly linked to people traveling outside Douglas County, and especially those traveling outside the state.

Additionally, county health officials said, they are seeing cases linked to close-contact at social gatherings, such as birthday parties, sleepovers, sporting events and parties. And that means younger people, including children and teenagers, are now testing positive for COVID-19.

The recent spike in cases in Douglas County is being mirrored statewide.

The Oregon Health Authority reported 408 new confirmed and presumptive cases of COVID-19 on Saturday, bringing the total to 16,492. OHA also reported four deaths Saturday, raising the state death total to 286.

On July 1, there were 9,294 confirmed and presumptive cases in the state; that represents a 77% increase since the first of the month. Statewide, deaths in that time have increased by 37%.

The four newly reported deaths in the state were:

  • A 66-year-old man in Multnomah County, who tested positive on June 14 and died on July 14, at Adventist Medical Center. He had underlying conditions.
  • An 88-year-old man in Multnomah County, who tested positive on July 10 and died on July 21, in his residence. He had underlying conditions.
  • An 87-year-old man in Multnomah County, who tested positive on July 7 and died on July 17. His place of death and underlying conditions are being confirmed.
  • An 85-year-old man in Umatilla County, who tested positive on July 14 and died on July 24. His place of death and underlying conditions are being confirmed.

The spread of COVID-19 in the state shows no sign of abating and could worsen, according to OHA models unveiled this week. That model determined that by mid-August ,1,600 Oregonians will contract COVID-19 a day if the current rate of transmission continues.

The model also determined that if the rate of transmission decreases by 10% by Aug. 13, about 600 Oregonians a day would be infected.

However, under a worse-case scenario, if the rate of infection in Oregon increases by 10%, some 2,300 new cases would emerge each day by mid-August, and 46 people a day would need to be hospitalized with COVID-19.

Scott Carroll can be reached at scarroll@nrtoday.com or 541-957-4204. Or follow him on Twitter

@scottcarroll15.

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Mike

In the quest to escape amid the coronavirus pandemic, people are flooding Oregon’s beaches, forests and mountains in unprecedented numbers, state and federal officials said. Oregon Parks and Recreation Department spokesman Chris Havel said they’re seeing a level of use well beyond a normal year especially on the Oregon Coast and west of the Cascades. “It’s like having the crowds you see for a holiday weekend, except all the time,” he said. The same can be said for bookings of Oregon coastal resorts and hotels.

Our County Commissioners have warned for weeks against residents traveling out of state and bringing coronavirus back to Douglas County. But they don’t tell us what is being done to prevent people FROM hot spot areas coming into Douglas County to spread new coronavirus cases. Many parks like Yosemite in California have re-closed campgrounds three weeks after reopening because of spiking cases. The City of Bend is outright asking people to stay away through Labor Day because of an increase in virus cases. Meanwhile, people from around the nation are encouraged to bring their coronavirus to Douglas County to infect us residents. I understand tourism is tenet of many Douglas County businesses. Yet it comes with a risk to all of us residents.

https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/northwest/seeking-covid-19-escape-people-crowding-oregon-outdoors/

Mike

U.S. Active Military passed the Department of Veterans Affairs today for total number of coronavirus cases. U.S Active military reported 2,168 new coronavirus cases today with 2 deaths. This brings the U.S. Active Military total cases to 36,659 with 56 deaths.

https://www.defense.gov/Explore/Spotlight/Coronavirus/

The U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs reported 157 new coronavirus cases today and 9 deaths. This brings the U.S. VA total cases to 36,062 with 1,997 deaths. Roseburg VA is reporting 15 total coronavirus cases and zero deaths.

https://www.accesstocare.va.gov/Healthcare/COVID19NationalSummary

Mike

Douglas County Public Health Network reported 2 new coronavirus cases today, bringing the total cases to 119 with 1 death. DPHN has reported 31 new cases over the last week.

The six counties surrounding Douglas County reported 19 new coronavirus cases today and 199 new cases over the past week. Theses six counties have reported 1,114 total cases and 6 deaths.

The Oregon Health Authority reported 330 new coronavirus cases today and a total of 17,088 cases in Oregon.

mworden

According to Johns Hopkins SchooI of PubIic HeaIth, "Depending how contagious an infection is, usually 70% to 90% of a population needs immunity to achieve herd immunity."

Fox6 News reported that 55 percent of covid patients showed heart damage when scanned, even if they experienced miId symptoms. "After the researchers excluded patients with pre-existing heart disease, the proportion of abnormal scans and those with severe cardiac disease was similar, suggesting that the cardiac abnormalities were related to COVID-19, researchers said."

Our onIy safe hope of reaching herd immunity is through a gIobaI vaccination program. Right now, no vaccine exists. To hope that 70-90 percent of Americans wouId contract covid when the severe compIication rate is high and when haIf of patients with even miId symptoms may end up with organ damage .... it's based on a misunderstanding of how herd immunity functions and on the dangers of being infected by covid-19. Trying to achieve herd immunity in Sweden and Great Britain were ineffective.

Rise722

The sooner we get to the herd immunity, the better off everyone will be.

Mike

I hope you are referring to herd immunity through vaccinations. Otherwise, it will take another 230 million people in the U.S. (in addition to our current 4.4 million) to contract the disease to achieve herd immunity. At a case fatality rate of 0.2%, that would probably cause another 467,000 deaths in the U.S. Close to a half million people would argue they weren't better off.

https://www.jhsph.edu/covid-19/articles/achieving-herd-immunity-with-covid19.html

Mike

Douglas County Commissioners DID NOT inform residents of 28 coronavirus cases THEY KNEW OF at two workplaces, Romtec and Norris Blueberry Farm. A weekly report published by the Oregon Health Authority is the ONLY reason we know of these workplace outbreaks. Only after OHA’s report was published did our County Commissioners acknowledged the workplace outbreaks they had known of for weeks.

By failing to immediately inform residents of workplace outbreaks, Douglas County Commissioners jeopardized the health of workers, customers and residents who may unknowingly patronize those businesses and become exposed to the virus. Moreover, an unknown outbreak kept secret by our Commissioners poses a serious threat to overwhelming very limited Douglas County hospital resources during an ongoing pandemic. One must wonder how many other workplace outbreaks are currently on-going that we won’t find out about until the next OHA weekly report.

The OHA weekly report states, “Recognizing the CRITICAL NEED FOR TRANSPARENCY DURNG A PANDEMIC (caps mine), the Oregon Health Authority in late May started to publicly report workplace outbreaks that involve five or more cases.” This information should not be kept secret by our Commissioners whose decision to do so risks the health and safety of everyone in Douglas County. When are our County Commissioners going to hear the wake-up call?

Mike

Douglas County Public Health Network reported 1 new coronavirus cases today, bringing the total cases to 117. It took Douglas County 101 days to get the first 31 coronavirus cases and 7 days to get the last 31 cases. Douglas County coronavirus cases have now increased 303% since our Douglas County Commissioners re-opened Douglas County on June 5.

It is unknown how many coronavirus cases from the Norris Blueberry Farm outbreak are included in DPHN case numbers because ONLY Douglas County residents are included. Norris Blueberry Farm workers from “out of the area” that test positive for coronavirus are not included in DPHN case numbers. 22 cases at Norris Blueberry Farm have been reported by several Medias.

The six counties surrounding Douglas County reported 26 new coronavirus cases today and 198 new cases over the past week.

The Oregon Health Authority reported 266 new coronavirus cases today and 3 deaths in Oregon. There have been a record high 29 deaths in Oregon over the last week.

https://www.flashalert.net/id/OregonHealthAuthority

Mike

For those who have not been following the pandemic statistics closely, the number of reported cases and deaths on weekends is always less than actual because several states no longer report on the weekends. You might think that should cause a spike in numbers on Monday when they finally report.

However, that may not be the case because most scoreboards go back and correct the weekend numbers once they get the information on Monday.

Mike

U.S. coronavirus deaths will pass 150,000 tomorrow and 4.4 million cases.

mworden

Despite what peopIe want to beIieve, new cases aren't aII from traveI outside the county. We are not a protected oasis. This needs to be emphasized -- county health officials said, they are seeing cases linked to close-contact at social gatherings, such as birthday parties, sleepovers, sporting events and parties. And that means younger people, including children and teenagers, are now testing positive for COVID-19.

TJ

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