The Douglas County COVID-19 Response Team reported 18 new positive test results and one presumed positive on Saturday, bringing the total number of cases to 2,321.

On Friday, the response team reported 20 new cases — 19 confirmed and one presumed positive.

Roseburg Public Schools announced Friday that three more people in the district tested positive for COVID-19.

Eastwood Elementary School reported its first case and two people tested positive at Roseburg High School.

The school district did not indicate whether this involved students, staff or volunteers, citing privacy concerns. The information will be disclosed in Wednesday’s outbreak report from the state health authority.

This is the second time there has been an outbreak at Roseburg High School, which has a total of three reported cases.

Every public school in Douglas County has reported outbreaks since the start of the school year, but there has been no spread within the schools according to local health officials.

As of Saturday, there are 16 Douglas County residents who are hospitalized, 13 locally and three out of the area.

Douglas County Public Health has received 6,500 first dose vaccines from the state and has deployed those to local vaccinators throughout the county. Winter weather delayed additional vaccines but the county is optimistic that those and the allotment for this week will be arriving early in the week.

As of Saturday, health care workers, correctional facility workers, educators and people over the age of 75 are eligible to receive the vaccine.

Douglas Public Health Network is supporting 269 people in isolation and 610 people in quarantine throughout the county. Isolation is recommended for those with confirmed or presumed positive tests.

Sanne Godfrey can be reached at sgodfrey@nrtoday.com or 541-957-4203. Follow her on Twitter @sannegodfrey.

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(23) comments

st paddy

Instead, about half of K-12 students are still not spending any time in classrooms. The rates of school closures are highest in Maryland, New Mexico, California and Oregon, according to Burbio. Experts say that the extended absences are causing large learning problems, especially for lower-income students.

the new york times, the morning

Mike

When I read the Burbio article, I didn't find mention of Oregon having a high rate of school closures. The only reference to Oregon said,

"Reports out of Pittsburgh indicate the Board will consider postponing a return for the balance of the school year. We see returns coming next week across New Mexico, Oregon, Washington, Tennessee and Minnesota."

When I searched Burbio on the word "closure," it linked me to a November article on school closures and said,

"Oregon's daily COVID-19 cases surpassed 1,200 Thursday, and Brown has ordered a two-week statewide freeze on businesses, forcing bars and restaurants to takeout-only and closing gyms. Oregon's schools, however, can continue to operate under the previous rules."

I must be missing something.

st paddy

my info was from the new york times morning briefing. sorry

mworden

Aviva and Douglas ESD administered 710 second doses of vaccine on Saturday.

https://kpic.com/news/local/douglas-esd-aviva-health-team-up-again-to-offer-second-doses-of-covid-19-vaccine

Mike

Today’s Douglas County Commissioners press release (below link) indicates “Aviva Health and Douglas ESD…provided 710 second-dose COVID19 vaccines” to Douglas County residents at the county fairgrounds last Saturday. Yet, the Oregon Health Authority, which tracks and reports each vaccine dose administered in every county in Oregon, indicates a total of 251 vaccine doses were administered throughout Douglas County (not just the fairgrounds) that day, not 710 as claimed by the Commissioners.

http://douglaspublichealthnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/2-22-2021-DCCRT-DAILY-UPDATE-COVID-19.pdf

The Oregon Health Authority indicates not all doses may be reported into their system for 72 hours. 251 doses are not even close to 710 doses, but we should have a better understanding in a couple days when 72 hours has definitely passed.

However, let’s look at January 23 when Aviva Health and Douglas ESD held a similar mass vaccination at Douglas County Fairgrounds. I’m pretty sure 72 hours has passed since January 23 when the County Commissioners press release (below link) claimed, “753 eligible Douglas County residents received their first dose of the COVID-19 vaccine” at the County Fairgrounds. On that day, the Oregon Health Authority indicates 651 doses of vaccine were administered throughout Douglas County (not just at the fairgrounds), not 753 doses as claimed by the Commissioners. 473 were Pfizer doses and 178 were Moderna doses according to the OHA.

http://douglaspublichealthnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/01/1-24-2021-DCCRT-DAILY-UPDATE-COVID-19.pdf

Recently, when I pointed out this discrepancy, mworden wrote that;

“Most of the information on the subject has been coming from Mike. In my opinion, this info has not been accurate…faulty interpretation of data, lack of understanding, and dependence on only a few sources of information…When it comes to the vaccine roll-out, he has depended on the state dashboards. IMO, that is why his info is no longer accurate...I do not believe the state dashboard on vaccine can be relied upon to be accurate…To me, there is no evidence that the state dashboard can be relied upon to be 100% accurate. It will probably catch up in time, but not in real-time …I've gleaned that from many sources.”

When I asked mworden to provide his “many sources,” he did not respond. I suspect his many sources are the News-Review and radio stations that cite the same County Commissioner’s press releases as THEIR source, similar to the link he provided in his above comment. If I’m wrong, I again ask mworden to provide his "gleaned" sources that are more accurate than the Oregon Health Authority. And maybe this time he should consider leaving out the personal attacks and 18 paragraph false narrative he so often criticizes others for.

Mike

MONDAY’S VACCINE UPDATE

After only 7 residents received their first vaccine shot yesterday, Douglas County dropped back to the fourth from last county in Oregon for vaccinating its residents. 10,105 of Douglas County’s 112,251 residents have received their first shot. That’s 9.0% of Douglas County residents have been vaccinated compared to Oregon’s average of 12.9%.

It appears Douglas County will be returning to the extreme risk level this week and some businesses will be forced to shut down again. Hopefully our County Commissioners can leverage the extreme risk level to beg for more vaccine doses. Lane County, which is currently in the Extreme risk level, administered over 13,000 doses of vaccine just yesterday and has already vaccinated 13.0% of its residents. Apparently there wasn't a shortage of vaccine supply in Lane County.

Below is the updated percentage of residents vaccinated in each Oregon County today and each county’s current risk level according to the Oregon Health Authority.

-----------------------------------------Risk

COUNTY-------------%-------------Level

Wheeler-----------30.88----------Lower

Deschutes--------16.14----------High

Polk----------------15.90----------Extreme

Wallowa----------15.61----------Lower

Benton------------15.15----------Extreme

Jefferson---------14.71-----------Extreme

Sherman----------14.39----------Lower

Harney------------14.00----------Lower

Lincoln------------13.78----------High

Hood River------13.58----------High

Multnomah-----13.52----------High

Lake---------------13.46----------Moderate

Lane--------------12.97-----------Extreme

Wasco------------12.96-----------Extreme

OREGON---------12.87

Marion-----------12.49----------Extreme

Klamath---------12.43-----------High

Baker-------------12.27-----------Lower

Tillamook-------11.73-----------Lower

Jackson----------11.65-----------Extreme

Clackamas------11.60-----------High

Crook------------11.55-----------Extreme

Washington----11.40-----------High

Curry-------------11.12-----------Lower

Gilliam-----------11.05-----------Lower

Union------------10.89-----------Extreme

Yamhill----------10.75-----------Extreme

Linn---------------10.51-----------High

Coos--------------10.28-----------Extreme

Clatsop----------10.13-----------High

Grant--------------9.96-----------Lower

Malhuer----------9.35-----------Extreme

Josephine--------9.08-----------Extreme

Douglas-----------9.00-----------High*******

Morrow-----------8.85----------Moderate

Columbia---------8.39----------High

Umatilla----------7.94-----------Extreme

CDC (below link) indicates 0 vaccine doses have been delivered to Oregon since yesterday. However, Oregon has received 83,025 doses over the last 5 days. This brings the total doses delivered to Oregon to 924,575. Of that, 821,309 doses have been administered. 122,173 doses have not been administered. The most doses administered in Oregon in one day were 25,796 on February 5. This means Oregon still has 5 days of vaccine supply left to be administered.

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations

CitizenJoe

New Yorker article today on the pandemic's still light touch in the developing world: https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2021/03/01/why-does-the-pandemic-seem-to-be-hitting-some-countries-harder-than-others

Mike

21 new coronavirus cases were reported in today’s press release from the County Commissioners Coronavirus Task Force. This brings Douglas County totals to 2,356 cases and 51 deaths.

Roseburg Veteran Affairs reported 0 new coronavirus cases since yesterday, keeping Roseburg VA totals at 223 cases and 8 deaths. Since yesterday, Roseburg VA reported administering 546 vaccine doses, increasing its total at 2,964 veterans having been vaccinated with one dose and 919 veterans having received both doses of vaccine according to the VA National website link below.

https://www.accesstocare.va.gov/Healthcare/COVID19NationalSummary

The Commissioners Response Team reported 364 coronavirus cases over the past two weeks which calculates to a 14-day case rate of 324.3 today for Douglas County, which is greater than the maximum case rate of 200 required for in-dining restaurants, bars, theaters and health clubs to remain open.

Mike

The Commissioners Response Team reported 364 coronavirus cases and the OHA reported Douglas County received 4,007 test results over the past two weeks. Dividing 364 cases by 4,007 test results gives Douglas County a 14-day positive test rate of 9.2% today.

The Oregon Health Authority reported 316 new coronavirus cases and 0 deaths today in Oregon. Oregon’s 7-day positive test rate is 3.1% today.

st paddy

douglas county wants to see businesses close up

OregonHusker

Because my dad became eligible today, I did some reading on the dphn website last night. This part made me want to spit. "Some areas have chosen on-line web sign-ups, drive through events with many hour lines or huge events at convention centers. We have chosen a different strategy. We have worked with many partners in the community and have signed up over 40 vaccine providers..." In other words, they've chosen to privatize our rollout. Places like Aviva have received doses and are only vaccinating their patients. Isn't that special?!? In the mean time, Portland is doing another drive through event today and will vaccinate 7,000 patients.

I did sign up my dad today through Douglas County Fire District 2. He was put on a list and they are vaccinating folks at the Dixonville station.

Mike

[sad]

Mike

A little less than a year ago, on February 29, 2020, the U.S. suffered its first coronavirus death. In less than a year, the U.S., with a population of 332 million people, has now seen over 500,000 preventable deaths due to this disease.

I say “preventable” because Vietnam, with a population of 98 million people, has experienced only 35 deaths during that same time. China, with a population of 1.4 billion people, has experienced only 4,636 deaths during that same time. Australia, with a population of 26 million people, has experienced 909 deaths during that same time. Need I say more?

CitizenJoe

Say more. Taiwan, 24,000,000. 942 cases. 9 deaths. As with Viet Nam, Taiwan is far closer to China and had far more intense contact with China. But they did not have an anti-science idjit in charge.

Mike

Teachers, not students, drove coronavirus spread in Georgia schools, study finds.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/teachers-not-students-drove-coronavirus-spread-in-georgia-schools-study-finds/ar-BB1dUGAZ?li=BBnbcA1

CitizenJoe

Sanne, in the interest of making sure that the deck chairs are properly arranged, could you please let your headline writer know that "raise" is a transitive verb? The word your headline writer was looking for is "rise" and it is located nearby, in the verbal toolbox.

"Douglas County COVID-19 cases raise to 2,321" is a medical and grammatical calamity.

Mike

SUNDAY’S VACCINE UPDATE

More good news. Douglas County passed Josephine County today to move up and become the fifth to last county in Oregon for vaccinating its residents. 10,098 of Douglas County’s 112,251 residents have received their first shot. 9.0% of Douglas County residents have been vaccinated compared to Oregon’s average of 12.7%.

Below is the updated percentage of residents vaccinated in each Oregon County today and each county’s current risk level according to the Oregon Health Authority.

----------------------------------------Risk

COUNTY-------------%-------------Level

Wheeler-----------30.88----------Lower

Deschutes--------16.14----------High

Polk----------------15.89----------Extreme

Wallowa----------15.61----------Lower

Benton------------15.12----------Extreme

Jefferson---------14.70-----------Extreme

Sherman----------14.39----------Lower

Harney------------14.00----------Lower

Lincoln------------13.77----------High

Hood River------13.56----------High

Lake---------------13.46----------Moderate

Multnomah-----13.33----------High

Wasco------------12.95-----------Extreme

OREGON---------12.70

Klamath---------12.43-----------High

Marion-----------12.41----------Extreme

Lane--------------12.39-----------Extreme

Baker-------------12.18-----------Lower

Jackson----------11.62-----------Extreme

Crook------------11.55-----------Extreme

Clackamas------11.41-----------High

Tillamook-------11.27-----------Lower

Washington----11.16-----------High

Gilliam-----------11.05-----------Lower

Union------------10.89-----------Extreme

Curry-------------10.88-----------Lower

Yamhill----------10.71-----------Extreme

Linn---------------10.49-----------High

Coos--------------10.27-----------Extreme

Clatsop----------10.12-----------High

Grant--------------9.96-----------Lower

Malhuer----------9.35-----------Extreme

Douglas-----------9.00*******High*****

Josephine--------8.94-----------Extreme

Morrow-----------8.85----------Moderate

Columbia---------8.12----------High

Umatilla----------7.94-----------Extreme

CDC (below link) indicates 0 vaccine doses have been delivered to Oregon since yesterday. However, Oregon has received 83,025 doses over the last 6 days. This brings the total doses delivered to Oregon to 924,575. Of that, 802,402 doses have been administered. 122,173 doses have not been administered. The most doses administered in Oregon in one day were 25,786 on February 5. This means, at maximum vaccination rates, Oregon currently has a minimum of 5 days of vaccine supply left to be administered.

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations

melrosereader

The vaccine rollout reminds me of a Russian joke about how things worked in the old USSR. That is: (You pretend to pay me and I'll pretend to work."

We read that 70 year olds are now eligible to receive this non-existent vaccine. "You pretend we have a vaccine rollout plan and I'll pretend we have vaccine."

st paddy

back in the USSR

Mike

14 new coronavirus cases were reported in today’s press release from the County Commissioners Coronavirus Task Force. This brings Douglas County totals to 2,335 cases and 51 deaths.

Roseburg Veteran Affairs reported 0 new coronavirus cases since yesterday, keeping Roseburg VA totals at 223 cases and 8 deaths. Roseburg VA administered 0 vaccine doses since Friday, keeping its total at 2,947 doses administered with 390 veterans having received both doses of vaccine according to the VA National website link below.

https://www.accesstocare.va.gov/Healthcare/COVID19NationalSummary

The Commissioners Response Team reported 349 coronavirus cases over the past two weeks which calculates to a 14-day case rate of 310.9 today for Douglas County, which is greater than the maximum case rate of 200 required for in-dining restaurants, bars, theaters and health clubs to remain open.

Mike

It is worth noting Douglas County received only 26 test results today according to the Oregon Health Authority. 14 of those 26 tests were positive. That’s a one-day positive test rate of 54%. That’s also the lowest number of one-day test results received for Douglas County in 8 months. What makes this truly remarkable is its timing. Douglas County is currently experiencing ANOTHER surge in coronavirus cases and is on the brink of having to close businesses AGAIN if it is moved to the extreme risk level AGAIN.

The Commissioners Response Team reported 349 coronavirus cases and the OHA reported Douglas County received 3,727 test results over the past two weeks. Dividing 349 cases by 3,727 test results gives Douglas County a 14-day positive test rate of 9.4% today.

The Oregon Health Authority reported 107 new coronavirus cases and 1 death today in Oregon. Oregon’s 7-day positive test rate is 3.6% today.

NJ

I'd like a little more transparency on this statement: "Douglas Public Health Network is supporting 269 people in isolation and 610 people in quarantine throughout the county. Isolation is recommended for those with confirmed or presumed positive tests."

The "support" I received was one call for contact tracing and one call by Sly Dial to let me know I was no longer in isolation. I find it difficult to believe that all those under quarantine and even some in isolation, with a bent toward the herd immunity catastrophe fostered by the worst president in the history of our country, are following or have followed the restrictions required by those terms. And I know very well that even with good intention those who are "supporting" have no way to make sure people are practicing the protocol of keeping others safe. Our increasing case numbers just don't indicate that. It's not a stretch to more believe that people are just people and will do what they want regardless of quarantine or isolation. Some simply cannot and some simply won't.

Wear a mask. Wash your hands. Stay home. And for the love of Pete get your vaccination doses, or we'll never get back to thriving businesses or classroom education.

Mike

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