COVID-19 update graphic

Douglas County reported the death of five of its residents since Tuesday, raising the county’s death toll to 110 since the start of the pandemic.

The Douglas County COVID-19 Recovery team reported the death of a fully vaccinated 84-year-old man Tuesday, while a 50-year-old man and 73-year-old woman who died Wednesday had not been vaccinated.

Thursday, an 87-year-old woman (unvaccinated) and an 88-year-old man (fully vaccinated) also died.

The recovery team reported 245 new positive and presumptive COVID-19 cases on Thursday, with 66 county residents hospitalized, including 58 locally. There were 141 new cases reported Friday, which pushed Douglas County’s total number of cases to 7,019 since the start of the pandemic in March 2020.

As of Friday, 61 county residents were hospitalized, 52 locally and nine out of the area. Of the 61 hospitalized, 55 reportedly had not been vaccinated. Thirteen were in the intensive care unit, while 16 had been placed on ventilators.

In addition to 75 Oregon National Guard troops arriving in Roseburg to help overwhelmed medical staff in the area, the Douglas County Board of Commissioners is also deploying nearly two dozen county employees to help ease the burden of local health care professionals.

“It is critical that we do our part as county government to make sure that our local hospitals are able to still provide vital medical services to our community,” Douglas County Commissioner Tim Freeman said. “There is no mission that we perform, other than public safety, that is as important at this time than supporting our hospitals and public health.”

Employees from numerous county departments including building, juvenile, assessors, parks, public works, fairgrounds, clerks and veterans have been temporarily called upon to assist both CHI Mercy Medical Center and the Douglas Public Health Network.

“We have juvenile counselors, legal assistants, property appraisers, veterans counselors — to name a few — that are no assisting with screening patients, helping to support medical supplies or answering calls about where people can get vaccinated,” said Michael Kurtz, human resources director for the county. “All of these employees could have said, ‘No thank you, this isn’t in my job description,’ but instead they all said, ‘Tell me how I can help.’ This is a workforce that understands there is a community need and they are glad to be able to do their part.”

The recovery team also reported Friday that 883 more county residents received at least a partial dose of the COVID-19 vaccine sequence between Aug. 8-14, which helped push the county’s estimated vaccination rate to 58.4%

BREAKTHROUGH CASESThe Oregon Health Authority released its latest COVID-19 Breakthrough Report Thursday, detailing the number of individuals who have tested positive for the coronavirus at least 14 days after completing their vaccine sequence.

Between Aug. 1-14, the state reported 20,701 total positive cases, 2,982 (14.4%) of which were considered breakthrough cases. The median age of breakthrough cases was 46, and 95 breakthrough cases were reported in care facilities, senior living communities or other congregate living settings. There were 644 (22.3%) breakthrough cases among those 65 and older, and 52 (1.7%) among those ages 12-17.

Douglas County has seen 219 breakthrough cases through April 14. By comparison, Lane County had 948, Jackson County had 423 and Josephine County had 228.

So far, the state has completed testing on 5.1% of positive breakthrough specimens, with the most common COVID-19 strain being the so-called “delta” variant with 170.

The original “alpha” strain had been detected in 134 breakthrough cases.

Of the 58 total deaths of Oregon residents who have been fully vaccinated, only one was under the age of 50.

Donovan Brink can be reached at dbrink@nrtoday.com and 541-957-4219.

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Donovan Brink is the cops and courts reporter for The News-Review.

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(35) comments

Mike

417 new Covid cases and 6 MORE DEATHS were reported in Douglas County over the weekend by the County Commissioners Covid Recovery Team. 3 of the 6 deaths were vaccinated according to the Recovery Team.

There now have been 29 Covid deaths in Douglas County in the last 25 days, 12 in the last week. 32 Douglas County residents have died (28% of the total) of Covid since our Douglas County Commissioners were granted full Covid restriction control 54 days ago on June 30 and then did NOTHING with it.

A RECORD 78 Douglas County residents are currently hospitalized, 65 of which are at Mercy Medical Center. 69 of the 78 hospitalized are unvaccinated.

It is noteworthy that a Douglas County resident died at Mercy Medical Center on Wednesday while waiting for a bed in the ICU to open up. On Wednesday when the person died, there were 12 Covid patients in ICU. On Friday, two days later, there were 14 Covid patients in the ICU, two more ICU beds than on Wednesday.

The Center for Disease Control (CDC) tracks the vaccination status of each COUNTY in the United States, including VA Hospitals and Tribal sites, and reports on it daily (below link). According to the CDC, 48.8% of Douglas County’s total population has received their first dose of vaccine and 43.0are fully vaccinated.

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations-county-view

2,213 new coronavirus cases have been reported in Douglas County over the past two weeks which calculates to a 14-day case rate of 1,971.5 today, which is higher than the maximum case rate of 200 previously required for in-dining restaurants, bars, theaters and health clubs to remain open. These are AGAIN all new records.

Mike

Douglas County reported 417 new Covid cases over the weekend which was the third highest case count in the entire state (below link). Only Lane County with 659 cases and Multnomah County with 582 cases reported more cases than Douglas County.

Douglas County had a RECORD 1,274 new Covid cases over the past week while the positive test rate 28.4% today.

The six counties surrounding Douglas County reported 1,801 new coronavirus cases and 16 deaths over the weekend and reported a RECORD 52 deaths over the past week.

The Oregon Health Authority reported 4,667 new coronavirus cases and 24 deaths over the weekend in Oregon. The OHA is forecasting (below link) 5,250 cases and 300 new hospitalizations per day between Aug. 25 and Sept. 7, an increase of 100%. Oregon’s 7-day positive test rate is 9.9% today.

There are 94 ICU beds and 401 non-ICU beds available throughout Oregon today according to the Oregon Health Authority. There is currently a RECORD 258 Oregonians in ICU and a RECORD 148 Oregonians on ventilators throughout Oregon.

The Oregon Health Authority also tracks hospital statistics for seven different regions in Oregon. Region 3 consists of Douglas, Coos, Curry and Lane Counties. The OHA reported there are 7 ICU beds and 85 non-ICU beds available in Region 3 today. A RECORD 201 coronavirus cases are hospitalized in Region 3 today. A RECORD 57 Oregonians are in ICU and a RECORD 33 Oregonians are on ventilators in Region 3. 1,188 new coronavirus cases were reported in Region 3 over the weekend.

https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/ORDHS/bulletins/2ee07ba

Mike

Unvaccinated Americans hospitalized with COVID-19 cost the U.S. health care system $2.3 billion in June and July.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/unvaccinated-americans-hospitalized-with-covid-19-cost-the-us-health-care-system-dollar23-billion-in-june-and-july-report/ar-AANDvNM?li=BBnb7Kz

Wretched722

I think we need to know the demographics of these cases....where are these people from? I don't believe for one minute it is people who have been living here and following guidelines. It is being brought in by people who do not get the vaccine and do not follow social distancing....from the southern border, perhaps?

sectorstar

Its clear that you don't leave your house much, or just flat out are not very observant. Go to any local retail/grocery store right now, most of the locals are NOT following guidelines, and never were this time a year ago. Theres quite a few co workers of mine that were some of the biggest and loudest anti everything when it came to doing what was asked with things like wearing a mask all because they refused to do something solely because a democrat said to do it. One co-worker in particular I know praised the commissioners anytime they bashed/attached the governor over mandates. Now he recently just got covid with pretty harsh symptoms. Two weeks later still looks and feels like garbage, and his dr just told him hes on the verge of nearly having pneumonia. I doubt he feels the same way now. As for your "southern border" theory. You seem to be confused what state you live in right now. Oregon is Not Texas. Thanks for the laughs though.

BooRadley62

Seriously? Switch channels

BooRadley62

Actually, you’re spot on…. The borders involving Josephine and Jackson counties!!

Mike

With Covid cases, hospitalizations and deaths leading the country for weeks, Florida Governor DeSantis finally said it may be time for Florida to report more detailed information than only the weekly report released to the public. Daily Florida data is provided to the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, but not the public. DeSantis’ remarks come weeks after experts began calling for the state to resume sharing more coronavirus data so citizens could be more informed about the state of their communities.

How many more cases, hospitalizations and deaths will Douglas County experience before our County Commissioners likewise reconsider and start sharing County daily data with the public?

https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/florida-gov-desantis-says-reporting-local-covid-data-on-daily-basis-may-not-be-a-bad-idea/ar-AANfGPE?li=BBnb7Kz

FedUp

Mike what are you going to do when with your spare time when covid is gone?? Just curious since this seems to be consuming your ever waking moment! I want to hear from you about how many hours your are volunteering at vaccination clinics and at the hospital! Not all the negative garbage!!

Mike

Unnamed Health officials from Douglas County, where CHI Mercy Hospital is located, said they had more COVID-19 cases last week than in the first 8 1/2 months of the pandemic.

"Until this surge, Douglas County has had a very low rate. For several weeks we had the lowest rates of disease for counties over 100,000 in the nation," health officials told ABC News via email. "This surge is far greater than anything we have seen previously.”

It has been EXACTLY 51 days since Douglas County Commissioners took over Covid Control from the Governor, claiming to know what was best for Douglas County. It has been EXACTLY 44 days since the Oregon Health Authority STRONGLY recommended County Commissioners implement Covid restrictions like masking and social distancing in their respective counties to counter the Delta surge sweeping across the country. It has been EXACTLY 10 days since the Oregon Governor was forced to step in and mandate masks for indoor activities after hospitalizations, cases and deaths surged and Douglas County Commissioners STILL have done nothing more to protect residents lives.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/oregon-covid-19-patient-unable-to-get-icu-bed-dies/ar-AANynJI?li=BBnbcA1

Wretched722

It says these people were fully vaccinated. Doesn't sound like it works very well...

mworden

Wretched, scroll down the page to CitizenJoe's post where he does the calculations to show that the vaccine appears to be 89% effective. That shows it's working vert well.

Mike

The Oregon Health Authority released its monthly COVID-19 forecast to the public yesterday indicating Covid daily transmission, cases and hospitalizations in Oregon will more than DOUBLE over the next two weeks, translating to 5,250 cases per day and 300 people per day requiring hospital admission.

If you think are hospitals are full now, it appears the next two weeks could be devastating.

https://www.oregon.gov/oha/covid19/Documents/DataReports/Epidemic-Trends-and-Projections-2021-08-20.pdf?utm_medium=email&utm_source=govdelivery

Mike

Multnomah County employees must get vaccinated or face layoffs. Why aren't our Douglas County Commissioners taking the same action?

https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2021/08/multnomah-county-employees-must-get-vaccinated-or-face-layoffs.html

Mike

Oregon and Oregon State became the first Power Five schools to announce they will require proof of vaccination or a negative COVID-19 test for people over the age of 12 to attend football games.

https://www.voiceofalexandria.com/sports/national_sports/oregon-to-require-proof-vaccination-to-attend-football-games/article_4c34aa19-6b81-53bf-9a97-fbabac481736.html

Mike

Pfizer COVID-19 vaccine poised to get full FDA approval next week.

https://www.oregonlive.com/nation/2021/08/pfizer-covid-19-vaccine-poised-to-get-full-fda-approval-next-week.html

Mike

COVID-19 surge overwhelms S. Oregon hospitals; ‘The ICUs are just filled’

https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2021/08/heartache-in-southern-oregon-as-record-covid-surge-overwhelms-hospitals-patients-die.html

mworden

You Are Smaller Than a Cow. Do Not Take Ivermectin Meant for Livestock.

Please do not take ivermectin that's formulated to de-worm livestock. No matter what the mirror tells you, you are not as big as a horse.

"Because the large-concentration tablets are intended for large animals, these can be treacherous for humans."

If taken in large concentrations, ivermectin can cause seizures in humans. Be careful out there.

https://www.wfla.com/community/health/coronavirus/ivermectin-horse-deworming-tablets-dangerous-for-humans-not-approved-covid-19-treatment/

CitizenJoe

Don't be fooled. Vaccines work. Here is a draft of a piece I composed this morning, for your delectation:

Vaccines work. The vaccines against the SARS-CoV-2 (the virus that causes COVID-19) –-are very effective against infection, and are very effective against severe disease, hospitalization, and death.

They are not perfect; no vaccine is. Because there are some breakthrough infections, and there are some patients who are hospitalized and even die after being fully vaccinated, some individuals do not fully understand the underlying mathematics of risk.

Imagine a scenario in which one had a 99% effective vaccine, and vaccinated the entire population. Of people who got the disease, what percentage were fully vaccinated? 100%.

Of people who died of the disease, what percentage were fully vaccinated? 100%

Those figures might lead the naive to assume that the vaccine was ineffective, because everybody who got the disease, or died of it, was already fully vaccinated. What they are not considering is all those people who neither sickened nor died, because they were fully vaccinated.

Imagine then, a population that is 50% vaccinated with a vaccine that is 90% effective at keeping people from being sick enough to be hospitalized. If you looked at the hospitalized population, what would you see?

Well, say, in a population like Douglas County, with around 100,000 eligible to get the vaccine, about half (50K) vaccinated and half (50K) unvaccinated, what is the effectiveness of the vaccine (at keeping people out of the hospital) with the numbers we saw Friday, August 20th?

We had 61 hospitalized, of whom 55 were unvaccinated, and 6 vaccinated.

Now, vaccine effectiveness is defined as:

VE = ((ARU-ARV)/ARU)/ARU)) *100%

where

VE = Vaccine efficacy,

ARU = Attack rate of unvaccinated people,

ARV = Attack rate of vaccinated people.

Plugging in our own county numbers,

((55/50,000)-(6/50,000))/(55//50,000)) = .89 = 89% vaccine effectiveness at keeping people out of the hospital.

Now, some caveats: the calculation above assumes that hospital stays are of similar length among vaccinated and unvaccinated, ignores subgroup analysis by age, and so on, but is a useful tool.

mworden

[thumbup]Thanks for doing the calculations, Joe. Very important when determining risk.

FedUp

Even though I gave in and got the vaccine, my initial gut feeling told me to not to get it as I am not in any high risk categories. I made that decision on the trust of the information and data that was provided by the so called experts. It's now becoming evident to me that maybe I never was given all the information to make an informed decision. Initially I was hesitant to take the vaccine because the history of success for vaccines against coronaviruses is nonexistent. SARS has been around for 17 years and zero success in a vaccine. MERS has been around since 2012 and zero success in a vaccine. These are both established coronaviruses without vaccines. It's starting to look like the covid vaccine is going to end up having the same success as the latter when all is said and done. I feel like we have all been duped into being lab rats!

mworden

FedUp, I'm sorry you feel as if we've all been duped. As if you made the wrong decision. That doesn't feel good.

I spent part of today calling friends and urging those who could do it to go into lockdown again. I did the same thing starting on Valentine's Day in 2020. Back then, everyone thought I'd slipped a gear. I knew when it came to travel the Chinese New Year on January 25, 2020, was akin to Thanksgiving and News Years combined over here. The virus had to be loose in the world. I urged my friends to start making preparations. They looked at me with pity.

My close friends are all vaccinated now. I think maybe my generation has gotten over-confident with the vaccine and stopped taking any precautions at all. Today they listened when I said that even with the vaccine we have to mask up, socially distance and avoid unnecessary socializing and travel if we can. Most of my friends are retired. We can all do that. Those of us who can have to take extra care so the people who have to go to work every day can have a better chance of not being infected.

I'm not a maximizer when it comes to decision making. A maximizer wants to get the best possible outcome with each decision. When the outcome doesn't look so hot the natural result is cognitive dissonance. That leads to anxiety and anger, even despair.

The vaccine is not perfect. It's not going to give us 100 percent protection. Every person I know who likes to maximize their decisions is feeling cognitive dissonance right now, especially after today's dire report.

For me, if it reduces our chances of getting seriously ill and dying by 50 percent, even if it doesn't guarantee it, I'll be pleased. I'm what's call a a satisficer. That means I look for options that are good but they don't have to be perfect to satisfy me.

So far, the vaccine is good enough to make me happy with my decision to get the shots. Maybe this conversation is worth repeating on a regular basis as we see how things shake out.

https://www.verywellmind.com/what-is-cognitive-dissonance-2795012

CitizenJoe

mworden: well said.

FedUp made the right decision, and ought to be satisfied at that decision. The virus has changed, is more infectious and likely more lethal, and its lethality is less blunted by vaccination that we saw in earlier variants. But it is still blunted. Air bags and seatbelts and crash helmets don't save every life or every brain, but using them reduces harm.

FedUp: you made the right decision. When dose #3 (assuming you got an mRNA; otherwise dose #2) comes around for you, I do hope you will make the right decision, again.

FedUp

I'm done putting anymore of their garbage in my body! I will take my risks! I will never take a 3rd dose. Air bags, seatbelts and crash helmets have been proven over time to not cause any adverse side effects on the human body! Can you make that guarantee with the vaccine? NOPE!

CitizenJoe

FedUp: you assert that, "Air bags, seatbelts and crash helmets have been proven over time to not cause any adverse side effects on the human body!"

That's not true.

For example, in 2020, NHTSA confirmed that 19 people in the United States have been killed when their defective Takata air bag inflators exploded. In addition, at least 400 people in the United States have allegedly been injured by exploding Takata air bag inflators.

There have been other injuries and deaths, even when air bags deployed as intended.

Similarly, seat belts can cause death, especially if worn improperly, but also if used properly.

Many bikers will tell you that helmets lead to neck injuries, and reduce visibility, leading to more deaths, and there's evidence that they are right--but overall, helmets save lives. (bikers are wrong on that point.)

No, I cannot tell you that the vaccine is utterly harmless. I can guarantee you that anyone who asserts that the vaccine is utterly harmless is wrong. But the risk/benefit ratio of taking the vaccine is overwhelmingly in favor of vaccination--both for you as an individual, and for the rest of society.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4608342/

https://www.bikersrights.com/statistics/the-twisting-of-data-in-helmet-safety-studies/

Mike

DOUGLAS COUNTY COVID CONTRIBUTION

Oregon’s “major coronavirus spikes are concentrated in only a handful of Oregon ZIP codes with about 10% of the state’s population, including Douglas, Josephine and Jackson counties. But those ZIP codes account for an outsize 27% of all new or presumed infections for the week ending Wednesday, according to an analysis of state data by The Oregonian/OregonLive.

The list of hardest-hit ZIP codes with at least 5,000 residents is filled almost exclusively with communities in those three counties, including Myrtle Creek, Winston, Sutherlin, Roseburg, Grants Pass, Central Point, Roseburg, Medford, Rogue River, White City and Eagle Point.”

https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2021/08/oregon-army-national-guard-deployed-to-hospitals-statewide-its-all-about-keeping-people-safe.html

Mike

382 new Covid cases and 5 MORE DEATHS were reported in Douglas County over the past two days by the County Commissioners Covid Recovery Team. 2 of the 5 deaths were fully vaccinated according to the Recovery Team.

23 Covid deaths occurred in Douglas County in the last 22 days. 95% of the deaths occurred at Mercy Medical Center which is much higher than previously observed. 26 Douglas County residents have died of Covid (nearly 25% of the total) since our Douglas County Commissioners were granted full Covid restriction control on June 30.

The Center for Disease Control (CDC) tracks the vaccination status of each COUNTY in the United States, including VA Hospitals and Tribal sites, and reports on it daily (below link). According to the CDC, 48.3% of Douglas County’s total population has received their first dose of vaccine and 42.8% are fully vaccinated. The good news is Douglas County vaccinations have more than doubled in the past two weeks.

https://webmail1.earthlink.net/folders/EarthLink-Services.spamBlocker.Suspect-Email/messages/23471

The Oregon Health Authority published a new County Long-Term Care Facility vaccination report (below link) today. According to the report, 82% of Long-Term Care Facility residents are vaccinated in Douglas County, while only 43% of their staff are vaccinated.

https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/oregon.health.authority.covid.19/viz/LTCFCOVID-19VaccinationData/WeeklyTrend

Douglas County had a RECORD 1,222 new Covid cases over the past week while the positive test rate dropped to 27% because 1,103 people were tested since yesterday.

2,039 new coronavirus cases have been reported in Douglas County over the past two weeks which calculates to a 14-day case rate of 1,816.5 today, which is higher than the maximum case rate of 200 previously required for in-dining restaurants, bars, theaters and health clubs to remain open. These are AGAIN all new records.

The six counties surrounding Douglas County reported 743 new coronavirus cases and 9 deaths today and reported a RECORD 5,905 new cases and a RECORD 45 deaths over the past week.

The Oregon Health Authority reported 2,142 new coronavirus cases and 18 deaths today in Oregon. The OHA is forecasting (below link) 5,250 cases and 300 new hospitalizations per day between Aug. 25 and Sept. 7, an increase of 100%. Oregon’s 7-day positive test rate is 9.8% today.

There are a RECORD LOW 79 ICU beds and 410 non-ICU beds available throughout Oregon today according to the Oregon Health Authority. There is currently a RECORD 240 in ICU and a RECORD 139 Oregonians on ventilators.

The Oregon Health Authority also tracks hospital statistics for seven different regions in Oregon. Region 3 consists of Douglas, Coos, Curry and Lane Counties. The OHA reported there are 4 ICU beds and 73 non-ICU beds available in Region 3 today. A RECORD 171 coronavirus cases are hospitalized in Region 3 today. A RECORD 42 Oregonians are in ICU and a RECORD 25 Oregonians are on ventilators in Region 3. 438 new coronavirus cases were reported in Region 3 today.

https://content.govdelivery.com/accounts/ORDHS/bulletins/2edb347

sectorstar

While I appreciate the transparency being lifted with saying if someone died was vaccinated or not, I fear this will do more harm than good. The average far right citizen here will read that and go "well that person was vaccinated and still died, so no need for me to waste my time with it!" Several friends and co workers of mine post on social media daily about how they are convinced that the vaccine is "f ing poison". Another person seriously believes that anyone that got the shot will have an invisible identification tattoo near the injection. The IQ has really dive bombed here the last year.

FedUp

I'm fully vaccinated and am starting to feel like I have been fed lie after lie regarding the vaccine and still am. It obviously is not as effective as we are being told. Vaccinated people are dying and according to most of the media information being told, the vaccine is supposed to almost guarantee an individual from death. That clearly is not the case. The data is starting to show that. I have to give credit to out county officials with giving the public complete accurate data. What concerns me is how many areas throughout the US are not being totally transparent and honest regarding fully vaccinated covid deaths just because of their maniacal obsession with vaccinating everyone!

sprtcuz

We’re at the cusp of creating a super resistant strain or a mutation, because it’s not being suppressed with treatment. If you look at history we didn’t beat the flu in 1918. The flu is still killing people with shots, so we aren’t going to win this fight against nature.

FedUp

I agree that it seems like covid is just going to have to make it's way through the worlds population. Nothing we have done has stopped it or even slowed it down. I am becoming a herd immunity believer as the only thing that will eventually allow the virus to die out or mutate itself into nothing more than a common cold virus. It seems like the virus is mutating itself in an attempt to stay alive but with each mutation its becoming more contagious but less lethal. I'm not an expert by any means but that's what it seems like it's doing. Survival mode because the human immune system is adapting to it.

dljones54

[thumbup]

Mike

A comment by dljones54 three weeks ago in regards to Covid:

"I am thankful for the decisions our commissioners are making for the good of the citizens and businesses in our community!"

I've been meaning to ask you whether you still feel the same way about the decision made by our Commissioners to NOT take life saving actions considering our hospital is now overwhelmed, residents are dying at record rates and the OHA forecasts things will get considerably worse over the next two week.

melrosereader

""There is no mission that we perform, other than public safety, that is as important at this time than supporting our hospitals and public health.""

Better late than never, I suppose.

CitizenJoe

melrosereader: yep. Too bad about Alderaan, though.

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