COVID-19 update graphic

With 39 new COVID-19 cases Tuesday, Douglas County appears to be headed toward the “extreme risk” category.

The state determines the risk levels for each county every two weeks. Douglas County has been in the lower “high risk” level since Jan. 1.

Douglas County spokesperson Tamara Howell said the state’s two-week risk level count period runs 14 days from Feb. 7 at 12:01 am through this Saturday at midnight, and the number of new cases over that time period is already at 251 with four days to go.

According to the metrics currently used by the state, counties must remain below 200 cases per 100,000 people over designated two-week periods. For Douglas County, that means not rising above 224 cases.

The state will announce on Tuesday which counties will be moved into new risk categories. If the county does move to extreme risk, that would happen Feb. 26 and runs for 14 days.

Bars and restaurants would once again be closed to indoor dining, and gyms larger than 500 square feet would be limited to six clients at a time and smaller gyms to one client at a time.

Douglas County Commissioner Tim Freeman, who heads up the county’s COVID-19 response, said the impact of moving to “extreme risk” will be felt by businesses like restaurants and gyms rather than churches, schools and long-term care facilities.

“Those places where we’re seeing the cases are not impacted by the closures. There’s some irony in that,” Freeman said.

Freeman said that illustrates the problem of a one-size-fits-all state metric.

“We’ve said all along allowing local decision making and local choices we could tailor whatever precautions that needed to be made specific to our community. It would have more effect on lowering the case count, but we’re not allowed to do that,” Freeman said.

He said it’s hard seeing the numbers rise over the past week and a half.

“We as a community, as a county have done extremely well for a year. We’ve had some of the lowest case counts in the nation for the better part of a year here in Douglas County,” Freeman said.

He attributed those low case counts to people making small, meaningful choices every day.

“Certainly something has changed over the last week or so,” he said.

He doesn’t know what changed, but people are tired of the pandemic and some people, including some elected officials and health care providers, are making comments that contradict COVID-19 precautions.

“There’s a ton of information out there that people are trying to pick through to decide what’s best for them,” he said.

He said the county has always believed giving people the most accurate, current information with the best recommendations and asking them to do the right thing is the right strategy.

“We’re going to continue to do that,” he said.

The county reported no new deaths Tuesday.

Fourteen county residents are hospitalized with the illness, nine locally and five out of the area.

The Douglas Public Health Network is currently supporting 239 people with the illness who are in isolation and another 558 people who have been in contact with an infected person and are in quarantine. That’s a total of 797 people.

The Oregon Health Authority reported 411 new cases and one new death Tuesday.

Reporter Carisa Cegavske can be reached at ccegavske@nrtoday.com or 541-957-4213W

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Senior Reporter

Carisa Cegavske is the senior reporter for The News-Review. She can be reached at ccegavske@nrtoday.com or 541-957-4213. Follow her on Twitter @carisa_cegavske

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(23) comments

Mike

Costco in Roseburg is offering Moderna vaccinations for eligible people at the below link. Appointments can be made at the below link.

https://www.costco.com/covid-vaccine.html

Shouldn't our Commissioner's daily coronavirus press releases contain this information to help Douglas County residents stay alive?

Mike

Oregon Health Authority Director Patrick Allen said Friday that over 127 pharmacies — including Walgreens, Costco, Albertsons-Safeway and Health Mart-affiliated retailers — had each received 100 doses of the vaccine. Those pharmacies are taking appointments .

The pharmacies are in 27 of Oregon’s 36 counties. The locations were chosen using the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s COVID-19 vulnerability index, which helps identify communities of people who are at high risk of contracting and dying from the disease.

https://www.opb.org/article/2021/02/12/oregon-washington-covid-19-vaccine-pharmacies-stores/#:~:text=Oregon%20Health%20Authority%20Director%20Patrick,will%20start%20taking%20appointments%20soon.

Mike

Elderly Oregonians report positive experiences receiving COVID-19 vaccines through local pharmacies. Michael Ransom learned that Costco would be offering COVID-19 vaccinations on Feb 6. He immediately went to the warehouse club’s website to try to sign up. Within 20 minutes he had scheduled vaccinations for both himself and his wife at the Clackamas Costco near their home. Ransom, 75, received his first vaccination at Costco on Monday. His wife, Carol, will receive hers next week.

https://www.oregonlive.com/coronavirus/2021/02/elderly-oregonians-report-positive-experiences-receiving-covid-19-vaccines-through-local-pharmacies.html

Mike

WEDNESDAY’S VACCINE UPDATE

Good news. Douglas County is moving up and is now the third to last County in Oregon for vaccinating its residents. 8,894 of Douglas County’s 112,251 residents have received their first shot. 7.9% of Douglas County residents have been vaccinated compared to Oregon’s average of 11.8%. Only Columbia County at 7.4% and Umatilla at 7.8% have vaccinated a lower percentage of its residents than Douglas County.

Below is the updated percentage of residents vaccinated in each Oregon County today and each county’s risk level according to the Oregon Health Authority.

-----------------------------------------Risk

COUNTY-------------%-------------Level

Wheeler-----------30.67----------Lower

Deschutes--------15.76-----------High

Polk----------------14.59----------Extreme

Benton-----------14.03-----------Extreme

Wallowa---------13.83-----------Lower

Sherman---------13.60-----------Lower

Harney-----------13.56-----------Lower

Lincoln-----------13.44------------High

Lake--------------13.09----------Moderate

Jefferson--------12.71-----------Extreme

Hood River------12.64------------High

Baker-------------12.58-----------Lower

Wasco------------12.26-----------Extreme

Multnomah-----12.21------------High

OREGON---------11.76

Lane--------------11.57-----------Extreme

Marion-----------11.35----------Extreme

Klamath---------11.19------------High

Jackson----------10.93-----------Extreme

Crook------------10.75-----------Extreme

Clackamas------10.37------------High

Curry-------------10.20-----------Lower

Linn---------------10.14------------High

Washington----10.04------------High

Yamhill----------10.01-----------Extreme

Tillamook--------9.91-----------Lower

Coos---------------9.86----------Extreme

Gilliam------------9.84-----------Lower

Union-------------9.84----------Extreme

Grant--------------9.61-----------Lower

Clatsop-----------9.56-------------High

Malhuer----------9.07----------Extreme

Josephine--------8.38----------Extreme

Morrow-----------8.28----------Moderate

Douglas-----------7.92********High*****

Umatilla----------7.78-----------Extreme

Columbia---------7.36-------------High

Despite the recent storms, CDC (below link) indicates 878,600 doses of vaccine have been delivered to Oregon, which is enough to vaccinate 20.8% of all Oregon residents. 707,241 doses have been administered. 171,359 vaccine doses have NOT been administered. That’s an average of 4,759 doses per county that have yet to be administered.

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations

Mike

Fauci says studies suggest vaccines slow virus spread. Pretty much a no-brainer.

You can read this article at the below link.

Vaccinating Douglas County residents is one of the actions County Commissioner Tim Freeman could have facilitated to prevent an increase in coronavirus cases in Douglas County. But he did exactly the OPPOSITE of that. The commissioners website said "don't call us" with vaccination questions for a month AFTER vaccine was delivered to Douglas County. That's Commissioner Freeman's version of restrictions tailored for Douglas County. Commissioner Freeman had a chance to save resident's lives, but instead did nothing for 35 days. 9 residents died during those 35 days.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/health/medical/fauci-says-studies-suggest-vaccines-slow-virus-spread/ar-BB1dLUV0?li=BBnb7Kz

smb

As I hope you know, these numbers don't include the VA's efforts since they report their results to the CDC directly and not OHA. I hear over 3000 VA staff and patients have at least their first dose of the vaccine. Since most counties don't have a VA clinic in their geographic area what our local VA does is very relevant to why the #s are going to be lower in DC.

Mike

"You hear?" Do you believe EVERYTHING you hear? According to the VA's national website, Roseburg VA (below link) has vaccinated 2,933 people. That's an increase of 302 people since yesterday.

As I hope you know, when the Roseburg VA was reporting many, many coronavirus cases that went unreported by Douglas County, the Commissioners claimed it was because the Roseburg VA cases were from their many veteran clients that live outside Douglas County but are treated at Roseburg VA. It seems Douglas County wishes to exclude VA coronavirus cases in their numbers but wants to include VA vaccinations. Can't have it both ways.

Kungfuricky

You believe everything you read, apparently! It DOES go both ways!!

smb

With respect, you didn't address what I was saying. So, you won't include in your estimates of how the vaccination system is going because the difference in counting cases? You should extract out of the total population for both scenarios then redo the math for the rest of us. Not sure what your point is if you selectively apply a train of thought.

Mike

The number of coronavirus cases, the percent of residents diagnosed with coronavirus and the number of cases since last week are listed below for each Douglas County zip code reported by the Oregon Health Authority as of February 17.

Roseburg zip code 97471 had the highest total one week increase. However, Sutherlin zip 97479 had the highest per capita increase.

---------------------------------------Cases

---------------------------------------Since

----------------------------------------Last

Zip--------Cases---------%--------Week

97417-----73-----------3.0----------2

97435-----33-----------1.4----------4

97442-----25-----------1.1----------6

97443-----35-----------1.6----------0

97457----189----------1.9----------11

97462-----84-----------2.1----------6

97467-----89-----------1.7---------10

97469-----46-----------1.8----------4

97470----446----------2.2---------35

97471----636----------2.2---------61

97479----276----------2.9---------34

97495-----37-----------2.6----------1

97496----119----------1.6----------7

97499-----40-----------2.0----------0

Mike

36 new coronavirus cases were reported in today’s press release from the County Commissioners Coronavirus Task Force. This brings Douglas County totals to 2,218 cases and 51 deaths.

It is notable that Roseburg VA reported one coronavirus death since yesterday that was not reported by the County Commissioners Response Team.

The Commissioners Response Team reported 351 coronavirus cases over the past two weeks which calculates to a 14-day case rate of 312.7 today for Douglas County, which is greater than the maximum case rate of 200 required for in-dining restaurants, bars, theaters and health clubs to remain open.

http://douglaspublichealthnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/2-17-2021-DCCRT-DAILY-UPDATE-COVID-19.pdf

Mike

The Commissioners Response Team reported 351 coronavirus cases and the OHA reported Douglas County received 3,913 test results over the past two weeks. Dividing 351 cases by 3,913 test results gives Douglas County a 14-day positive test rate of 9.0% today.

The Oregon Health Authority reported 382 new coronavirus cases and 5 deaths today in Oregon. Oregon’s 7-day positive test rate is 3.2% today.

The Oregon Health Authority tracks hospital statistics for seven different regions in Oregon. Region 3 consists of Douglas, Coos, Curry and Lane Counties. The OHA reported there are 10 ICU beds and 116 non-ICU beds available in Region 3 today. 37 coronavirus cases are hospitalized in Region 3 today. 10 are in ICU. There were 82 new coronavirus cases reported in Region 3 today.

Mike

Roseburg Veteran Affairs reported 1 new coronavirus case and 1 new DEATH since yesterday, bringing Roseburg VA totals at 217 cases and 8 deaths. Roseburg VA administered 265 vaccine doses since yesterday, bringing its total at 2,631 doses administered with 252 veterans have received both doses of vaccine according to the VA National website link below.

https://www.accesstocare.va.gov/Healthcare/COVID19NationalSummary

Mike

Now that Douglas County is going back to the extreme risk category and will have to shut all businesses down again, maybe Commissioner Freeman can argue Douglas County deserves a greater supply of vaccine. As if that was the problem rather than just another excuse.

Maybe Commissioner Freeman can also argue to be allowed to put "his" restrictions in place for Douglas County which he says are more tailored to Douglas County. If not, Commissioner Freeman should at least tell us what "his" tailored restrictions are so us residents can start following them and get our county cases down.

C'mon Commissioner Freeman, tell us what "your" restrictions are.

TheDC1967

Cuomo. Nursing homes. Coverup. Aren't Democrats great?!? See, it goes both ways.

NJ

New York, Oregon, Focus.

OregonHusker

Not really. Red states have been deflating their numbers since the beginning. I give you Florida, Georgia and Missouri for starters. Then, of course, there was Trump's response to Covid. Fake cures and bleach. It doesn't go both ways.

Mike

It appears Douglas County will soon be elevated to the “extreme” risk level because of recent record number of coronavirus cases. In response, Douglas County Commissioner Tim Freeman stated Oregon’s restrictions are ineffective for Douglas County and he has known “all along” about more effective restrictions but he wasn’t allowed to put them in place.

Commissioner Freeman, what exactly are the effective restrictions YOU would have put in place to prevent Douglas County’s increase back to the extreme risk level? Please tell us so we can start encouraging people to adopt your different recommendations. You always talk about how you would have done things differently, but you never tell us what those different things are. Enlighten us please.

Commissioner Freeman said it's hard seeing the numbers rise over the past week and a half. He knows increased cases were not caused by bars, restaurants and gyms but claims to NOT know what is causing the increased cases.

Commissioner Freeman, how can you say you know how to address this problem if you claim to not know what caused it? How can you implement custom coronavirus restrictions for Douglas County when you admit to not knowing what caused the increase in cases?

OregonHusker

Freeman would have kept things open and folks maskless while we attempted herd immunity au natural. Sure a bunch of people would have died, but that's a small price to pay for the economy. Aren't Republicans great?!?!

Scomo

Stop whining, Lock downs DON’T work, unless it’s a nursing home, then the patients just die of a broken heart and loneliness. Florida is open and it has far fewer cases and deaths than NY. In case you missed the memo the survival rate for this thing is 99.6% and higher than that if you’re under 60. And, it’s now becoming more evident that the PCR test is deeply flawed. The case numbers are probably wildly inflated.

Mike

Not sure where you are getting your numbers. Douglas County has had 2,218 cases and 51 deaths. It appears you may not be good with math so let me help. 2.3% of Douglas County cases have resulted in death. Douglas County's survival rate is 97.7%.

The real question you should consider is why the Death rate in Douglas County from coronavirus is twice the Oregon average.

Ocheryl

Yes, Republicans are the best! Thank you for acknowledging!

Mike

TUESDAY’S VACCINE UPDATE

Douglas County remains the second to last County in Oregon for vaccinating its residents. 8,558 of Douglas County’s 112,251 residents have received their first shot. 7.6% of Douglas County residents have been vaccinated compared to Oregon’s average of 11.6%. Only Columbia County at 7.3% has vaccinated a lower percentage of its residents than Douglas County.

Below is the updated percentage of residents vaccinated in each Oregon County today and each county’s risk level according to the Oregon Health Authority.

-----------------------------------------Risk

COUNTY-------------%-------------Level

Wheeler-----------29.97----------Lower

Deschutes--------15.63-----------High

Polk----------------14.36----------Extreme

Benton-----------13.85-----------Extreme

Wallowa---------13.62-----------Lower

Sherman---------13.54-----------Lower

Harney-----------13.48-----------Lower

Lincoln-----------13.38------------High

Jefferson--------12.60-----------Extreme

Hood River------12.55------------High

Baker-------------12.15-----------Lower

Multnomah-----12.03------------High

Wasco------------12.00-----------Extreme

OREGON---------11.45

Lane--------------11.29-----------Extreme

Marion-----------11.15----------Extreme

Klamath---------11.08------------High

Lake---------------10.94----------Moderate

Jackson----------10.78-----------Extreme

Clackamas------10.19------------High

Curry-------------10.17-----------Lower

Crook------------10.06-----------Extreme

Linn---------------10.05------------High

Yamhill------------9.84-----------Extreme

Washington-----9.78------------High

Tillamook--------9.63-----------Lower

Grant--------------9.59-----------Lower

Clatsop-----------9.52-------------High

Gilliam------------9.39-----------Lower

Coos---------------9.35----------Extreme

Union-------------9.26----------Extreme

Malhuer----------8.96----------Extreme

Josephine--------8.33----------Extreme

Morrow-----------7.96----------Moderate

Umatilla----------7.70-----------Extreme

Douglas-----------7.63********High****

Columbia---------7.31-------------High

The CDC (below link) indicates 862,205 doses of vaccine have been delivered to Oregon, which is enough to vaccinate 20.4% of all Oregon residents. 691,452 doses have been administered. 170,753 vaccine doses have NOT been administered. That’s an average of 4,743 doses sitting on the shelf in EVERY Oregon County that have yet to be administered.

https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations

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